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When to Choose Parlays Over System Bets


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The public consensus seems to be that system bets are much, much safer than parlays and, therefore, much easier to recommend. Almost every betting guide or lengthy write-up suggests that you’re better off picking systems every time. In today’s text, I’m going to make a case for parlays.

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Definition – Parlays and Systems

Parlays

It’s a single bet that links multiple wagers. All the individual bets must win for the entire parlay to be successful. The potential payout for a parlay is significantly higher than the combined payouts of the individual bets. In short, it’s an appealing option for bettors seeking a larger return on their investment.

Systems

It’s a combination of multiple straight bets, where the bettor can win even if not all the individual bets are successful. It gives you a better chance of paying off when compared to a parlay, but the amount of money that could be won is much less.

Simple Distinctions Between Parlays and Systems

Both parlays and systems involve more than one betting pick, but they differ in several impactful ways. The primary distinctions between the two betting methods are shown below, in a table:

Criteria Parlays Systems
Payout Potential Higher Lower
Probability of Winning Lower Higher
Risk Level Higher Lower
Flexibility Less More

What Kinds of Bettors Choose Systems Over Parlays?

People who like to limit their risk and hope to get regular returns on their bets often choose system bets over parlays. Instead of going after the higher-risk, higher-reward bets, these cautious players are more likely to want to limit their losses than to get more money. Also, it seems to be the preferred strategy of casual bettors who can’t commit to a big, strong bet.

When to Choose Parlays: Matches with Predictable Outcomes

Parlays are an excellent choice when placing bets on matches with more predictable outcomes. I stress this word – MORE predictable. As we all know, nothing is certain when it comes to betting. Yet, in sports like tennis, golf, and football, the best teams and players consistently win. So, it’s much easier to accurately predict multiple outcomes. For example, if the 2025 Premier League champions Liverpool are facing a newly promoted team, you can confidently include that match in a parlay, knowing the favorite is highly likely to win.

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The payout for such a parlay would be significantly higher than individual bets on each match. Let’s say Liverpool is priced at 1.25 to win, while Arsenal is at 1.30 in their game against weaker opposition. A $100 parlay combining these two outcomes would pay out $163 with a fairly low level of risk.

When to Choose Parlays: High-Scoring Games

Parlays are also an attractive option when betting on high-scoring games or leagues. Once again, we are turning to the Premier League. The top teams regularly win by multiple goals against weaker opponents. You can turn a small starting bet into a big return by adding the moneyline bets with multiple mismatches. Say you bet $50 that Manchester United, Liverpool, and Chelsea will all win their games as big favorites. If you get creative with your bet (add more specific betting markets) and each of those teams wins, for example, by 3+ goals, your parlay would pay out at $1,012.50, approximately (based on past odds). This is compared to just $450 for three separate $50 bets.

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When to Choose Parlays: When You Need Short-Term Results

Finally, parlays are an excellent choice when you’re looking for quick, short-term results. By combining multiple outcomes into a single bet, you have the potential to turn a small investment into a much larger payout in a short amount of time. This can be particularly useful for bettors who need to generate results quickly, such as those with limited bankrolls.

For example, a $20 parlay on three Premier League games with odds of 1.91 each would pay out at almost $140, compared to almost 22% lower for three separate $20 bets. The potential for a substantial return on a small initial stake makes parlays an attractive option for bettors seeking short-term success. The above example with high-scoring games proves that short-term result potential is even more impressive if you choose to go with higher stakes.

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