When a former Grand Slam champion meets a rising underdog on center court, anticipation crackles through the crowd. Coco Gauff, fresh off a tough comeback win over Donna Vekić in the second round while battling persistent serve woes, now faces Poland’s Magdalena Fręch in Saturday’s third round at the US Open. The young American comes into the match having revamped her serve with the help of biomechanics specialist Gavin MacMillan, a decision that followed uneven results in previous tournaments, but one that’s paying dividends under pressure.
Gauff kicked off the 2024-25 season by helping the United States win the United Cup by defeating world No. 2 Iga Świątek in the final. She reached the Australian Open quarterfinals, flourished during the clay season with finals at Madrid and Rome, and secured her second major title by winning the French Open, becoming the first American to do so since Serena Williams in 2015. Now the question becomes: can she maintain this momentum against a dangerous opponent who’s quietly building her own breakthrough story?
Coco Gauff vs Magdalena Fręch Match Details
- Date: August 30, 2025
- Tournament: US Open
- Round: Third Round
- Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York City
- Category: Grand Slam
- Surface: Outdoor hard
- Live telecast: ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPN+, Hulu + Live TV, YouTube TV and Sling TV
Gauff vs Fręch Head-to-Head
Gauff and Fręch have met twice on the WTA Tour, with Gauff winning both encounters (2–0 in matches, 4–0 in sets). Their most recent clash occurred in Round 64 at the 2024 Italian Open in Rome, where Gauff prevailed 6-3, 6-3. According to the WTA official match log, that straight-sets victory was completed in 88 minutes.
That Rome match showcased Gauff’s ability to control rallies and capitalize on break opportunities. Fręch struggled to find answers against Gauff’s improved groundstroke consistency and court positioning, factors that could prove decisive again on the hard courts of Flushing Meadows.
Gauff vs Fręch Prediction
Gauff enters with elite hard-court form. According to WTA match notes, she holds an outstanding 35-12 overall record in the 2024-25 season, with seven of her 10 career titles coming on hard courts. In contrast, Fręch has struggled overall in 2025, with a 10–21 win–loss record, and despite winning in Guadalajara 2024, she has yet to replicate that success on hard surfaces this year.
.@CocoGauff was emotional after winning her second round match at the US Open pic.twitter.com/py1L7eXKm0
— ESPN (@espn) August 29, 2025
Gauff averages 2.87 aces per match, while Fręch is not so worse with 2.33 aces per match in 2025. However, Gauff’s vulnerability on serve is highlighted by her low second-serve point success, just 42.7% and she holds only 68.7% of her service games, figures well below elite peers. Fręch’s service consistency includes a first-serve percentage of 59.9%, first-serve points won at 61%, and a second-serve win rate of 43.7%. This also translates to a respectable service-points-won of 54.1%.
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These serving statistics reveal an intriguing matchup dynamic. While Fręch matches Gauff’s ace production and shows slightly better service hold percentages, Gauff’s ability to win crucial points at critical moments has been the difference throughout her breakthrough season. The question becomes whether Fręch can exploit those second-serve weaknesses consistently enough to create upset potential.
Putting it all together, Gauff brings top-tier credentials, a recent Grand Slam triumph, and dominant hard-court potency, especially in pressure moments. Fręch may match pace in aces and shows respectable service point metrics, but her overall record and less proven clutch performance on big stages remain significant gaps.
Prediction: Gauff to win in three sets
