Week 10 of the NFL season saw some teams pull off huge wins to help their playoff chances, while other squads suffered upset losses that will significantly impact their postseason hopes.
Each week, it’s becoming easier to identify the contenders and pretenders. As the 2025 NFL season progresses, let’s take a look at how the NFL playoff picture stacks up. With Week 10 just about over, here’s a look at the current postseason picture.
Week 10 Standings and Playoff Picture
AFC Playoff Picture
1. Indianapolis Colts, 8-2 (beat Falcons in Berlin on Sunday)
2. Denver Broncos, 8-2 (beat Raiders on TNF)
3. New England Patriots, 8-2 (beat Buccaneers on Sunday)
4. Pittsburgh Steelers, 5-3 (play Chargers on SNF)
5. Los Angeles Chargers, 6-3 (play Steelers on SNF)
6. Buffalo Bills, 6-3 (lose to Dolphins on Sunday)
7. Jacksonville Jaguars, 5-4 (lose to Texans on Sunday)
In the Hunt
8. Kansas City Chiefs, 5-4 (bye week)
9. Houston Texans, 4-5 (beat Jaguars on Sunday)
10. Baltimore Ravens, 4-5 (beat Vikings on Sunday)
11. Cincinnati Bengals, 3-6 (bye week)
12. Miami Dolphins, 3-7 (beat Bills on Sunday)
13. New York Jets, 2-7 (beat Browns on Sunday)
14. Las Vegas Raiders, 2-7 (lost to Broncos on TNF)
15. Cleveland Browns, 2-7 (lost to Jets on Sunday)
16. Tennessee Titans, 1-8 (bye week)
NFC Playoff Picture
1. Philadelphia Eagles, 6-2 (play Packers on MNF)
2. Seattle Seahawks, 6-2 (play Cardinals on Sunday)
3. Green Bay Packers, 5-2-1 (play Eagles on MNF)
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 6-3 (lost to Patriots on Sunday)
5. Los Angeles Rams, 6-2 (play 49ers on Sunday)
6. San Francisco 49ers, 6-3 (play Rams on Sunday)
7. Chicago Bears, 6-3 (beat Giants on Sunday)
In the Hunt
8. Detroit Lions, 5-3 (play Commanders on Sunday)
9. Carolina Panthers, 5-5 (lost to Saints on Sunday)
10. Minnesota Vikings, 4-5 (lost to Ravens on Sunday)
11. Dallas Cowboys, 3-5-1 (bye week)
12. Arizona Cardinals, 3-5 (play Seahawks on Sunday)
13. Atlanta Falcons, 3-6 (lost to Colts in Berlin on Sunday)
14. Washington Commanders, 3-6 (play Lions on Sunday)
15. New Orleans Saints, 2-8 (beat Panthers on Sunday)
16. New York Giants, 2-8 (lost to Bears on Sunday)
NFL Teams on the Rise
With big wins on Sunday, the Chicago Bears and Houston Texans dramatically improved their chances to reach the NFL playoffs. Chicago defeated the New York Giants 24-20 in the snow at Soldier Field, while backup quarterback Davis Mills engineered a fourth-quarter rally as the Texans defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 36-29 at NRG Stadium in Houston.
According to data provided by the PFSN NFL Playoff Predictor, the Bears now have a 13.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 4.9% chance of winning their division. For the Texans, they have a 12.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 2.5% chance of winning their division.
NFL Teams on the Decline
Sunday was not a good day for the Jacksonville Jaguars and Minnesota Vikings, who lost to the Texans and Baltimore Ravens, respectively.
The Jaguars held a lead over Houston going into the fourth quarter, but lost and quarterback Trevor Lawrence ended up throwing a Pick 6 on the game’s final play. Minnesota, playing at home no less, wasn’t able to get past Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson and star running back Derrick Henry.
According to data provided by the PFSN NFL Playoff Predictor, the Jaguars now have -15.9% chance of making the playoffs and a -7.5% chance of winning their division. As for the Vikings, it’s worse. Minnesota now has a -17% chance of making the playoffs and a -10.3% chance of winning its division.
