MS vs ST 14th Match Prediction of BBL 2025-26: Who will win?

MS vs ST 14th Match Prediction of BBL 2025-26

The Big Bash League 2025-26 moves to Canberra as Melbourne Stars lock horns with Sydney Thunder in Match 14 at the Manuka Oval on December 28. The Stars arrive with perfect momentum, winning all three of their matches so far, while the Thunder are coming off their first victory of the season and will be keen to build consistency. So let’s have a look at MS vs ST 14th Match Prediction of BBL 2025-26.

With form, confidence, and balance on their side, Melbourne Stars begin this clash as favourites, but Sydney Thunder’s strong head-to-head record against the Stars keeps this contest intriguing.

MS vs ST 14th Match Details

• Match: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder, Match 14

• Tournament: Big Bash League 2025-26

• Date & Time: December 28, 2025, 1:45 PM IST

• Venue: Manuka Oval, Canberra

MS vs ST Win Probability

• Melbourne Stars: 61%

• Sydney Thunder: 39%

Melbourne Stars’ unbeaten run and settled XI give them a clear edge, though Thunder’s recent dominance in head-to-head encounters adds an interesting subplot.

Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder Match Overview

Melbourne Stars have enjoyed a dream start to their BBL 2025-26 campaign, sitting comfortably at the top of the table with three wins from three matches. Their consistency across batting and bowling has made them one of the most well-rounded sides this season.

Sydney Thunder, on the other hand, finally opened their account with a convincing 34-run win over Brisbane Heat in their previous outing. While that victory has boosted morale, they now face a stern test against the tournament frontrunners.

The Manuka Oval, known for its batting-friendly conditions, could witness a high-scoring encounter where early momentum will be crucial.

Cricket Betting Tips for MS vs ST – Match 14

Sam Harper to Score Over 18.5 Runs

Coming off a sensational match-winning century against Adelaide Strikers, Sam Harper will be brimming with confidence. As an opener, he is well placed to make an impact again.

Marcus Stoinis to Score Over 21.5 Runs

The Stars skipper has been influential with both bat and ball. With 94 runs and five wickets already this season, Stoinis remains a reliable betting option.

Sam Billings to Score Over 18.5 Runs

The experienced English wicketkeeper-batter has already registered a 40+ score this season and is expected to anchor the Thunder’s middle order.

Matthew Gilkes to Score Over 18.5 Runs

Thunder’s leading run-scorer so far, Gilkes has amassed 108 runs in three innings at an explosive strike rate. Another strong start could be on the cards.

Head-to-Head Record: MS vs ST

• Matches Played: 22

• Melbourne Stars Wins: 10

• Sydney Thunder Wins: 12

Sydney Thunder hold a slight edge historically and have won the last five encounters against the Stars.

Recent Form

• Melbourne Stars: W, L, W, W, W

• Sydney Thunder: W, L, L, L, W

Team Previews

Melbourne Stars

The Melbourne Stars have looked near flawless this season. Their batting lineup has delivered consistently, while the bowling unit has applied pressure at crucial stages. Notably, the Stars have stuck with the same playing XI in all three matches, highlighting their stability and confidence in the squad.

Expected Playing XI:
Sam Harper (WK), Joe Clarke, Campbell Kellaway, Marcus Stoinis (C), Glenn Maxwell, Hilton Cartwright, Tom Curran, Haris Rauf, Thomas Rogers, Mitchell Swepson, Peter Siddle

Sydney Thunder

Sydney Thunder finally found rhythm in their previous match against Brisbane Heat, where both bowling and batting units contributed effectively. With momentum on their side, they are likely to back the same combination as they look to challenge the table-toppers.

Expected Playing XI:
Matthew Gilkes, Sam Konstas, David Warner (C), Cameron Bancroft, Sam Billings (WK), Shadab Khan, Daniel Sams, Chris Green, Nathan McAndrew, Tanveer Sangha, Reece Topley

Pitch Report: Manuka Oval, Canberra

The Manuka Oval traditionally offers a batting-friendly surface with good bounce and short boundaries.

• Average first-innings score: 160–170

• Pacers may find early movement

• Spinners can be effective during middle overs

• Chasing sides often enjoy success under lights

Overall, conditions favour stroke-makers once batters get set.

Weather Report

Canberra is expected to enjoy clear and sunny conditions on match day.

MS vs ST Toss Prediction

Captains at Manuka Oval often prefer batting first, aiming to put runs on the board and apply scoreboard pressure. The toss winner is likely to opt for batting.

Where to Watch MS vs ST Live

MS vs ST Match Prediction: Who Will Win?

Melbourne Stars have been the standout team of the season so far, combining explosive batting with disciplined bowling. While Sydney Thunder have history on their side and are coming off a confidence-boosting win, the Stars’ current form makes them hard to stop.

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**Disclaimer: Predictions are based on analysis and research; they are intended as insights, not certainties. They should be viewed as informational and not as guarantees. **